Current:Home > reviewsThe U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look -Pinnacle Profit Strategies
The U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look
View
Date:2025-04-17 07:57:49
It's Groundhog Day. And once again, the monthly jobs report has confounded forecasters.
U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday. That's far more than analysts were expecting.
The job market has held up remarkably well, despite the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation with the highest interest rates in more than two decades.
The question is whether the Fed will see a shadow in the stronger-than-expected jobs market and extend our winter of elevated borrowing costs.
Policy makers might worry that such a strong labor market will keep prices higher for longer.
Here are four takeaways from Friday's report.
Demand for workers is still extraordinarily strong
Nearly every industry added jobs last month. Health care added 70,000 jobs. Business services added 74,000. Even construction and manufacturing — two industries that typically feel the drag of higher interest rates — continued to hire in January.
What's more, revised figures show job growth in November and December was stronger than initially reported.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a historically low 3.7%. It's been under 4% for two full years now.
More people are joining the workforce
Helping to balance the strong demand for labor is a growing supply of available workers.
Many people who were sidelined during the pandemic have since joined or re-joined the workforce — thanks in part to the possibility of remote work.
Nearly 23% of employees teleworked or worked from home last month — more than double the rate before the pandemic.
The share of people in their prime working years who are working or looking for work in January rose to 83.3%.
Immigration has also rebounded. The foreign-born workforce grew 4.3% last year, while the native-born workforce was virtually flat.
"Those two forces have significantly lowered the temperature in the labor market," said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. "It's still a good labor market for wages and for finding a job. But it's getting back into balance and that's what we want to see."
But the sizzling job market could delay a cut in interest rates
Powell said this week that he and his colleagues could start cutting interest rates this year if inflation continues to fall.
Powell cautioned, however, that a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in March is unlikely. It's probably even more unlikely after this stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed average wages in January rising 4.5% from a year ago.
Although rising wages have not been a big driver of inflation, wage gains at that level could make it hard to get inflation all the way down to the Fed's target of 2%.
Before the jobs report, investors had been all but certain the Fed would cut interest rates by May. They're less confident now.
Productivity gains could make rising wages less worrisome
Two other reports from the Labor Department this week show less upward pressure on wages and prices.
One report tracks the labor costs borne by employers last year. It showed a smaller increase in October, November and December than the previous quarter. This "employment cost index" is considered a more reliable guide to labor expenses than the monthly wage data.
A separate report showed that workers' productivity rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Rising productivity helps to offset rising wages, so employers can afford to pay more without raising prices.
"Productivity is the magic wand that keeps wages growing solidly without spiking inflation," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the payroll processing company ADP.
veryGood! (98485)
Related
- US appeals court rejects Nasdaq’s diversity rules for company boards
- Truck driver accused of intentionally killing Utah officer had been holding a woman against her will
- Psst, You Can Shop These 9 Luxury Beauty Brands at Amazon's Summer Beauty Haul
- Halle Berry Poses Naked on Open Balcony in Boyfriend Van Hunt's Cheeky Mother's Day Tribute
- Most popular books of the week: See what topped USA TODAY's bestselling books list
- Florida man who survived Bahamas shark attack shares how he kept his cool: 'I'll be alright'
- Suspect turned himself in after allegedly shooting, killing attorney at Houston McDonald's
- Feds accuse Rhode Island of warehousing kids with mental health, developmental disabilities
- 2 killed, 3 injured in shooting at makeshift club in Houston
- Addison Rae’s Mom Sheri Easterling Marries High School Coach Jess Curtis
Ranking
- What do we know about the mysterious drones reported flying over New Jersey?
- Caitlin Clark's WNBA regular-season debut has arrived. Here's how to take it all in.
- Travis Barker’s Extravagant Mother’s Day Gift to Kourtney Kardashian Is No Small Thing
- North Carolina congressional runoff highlights Trump’s influence in GOP politics
- Selena Gomez's "Weird Uncles" Steve Martin and Martin Short React to Her Engagement
- Questions and grief linger at the apartment door where a deputy killed a US airman
- Steve Carell and John Krasinski’s The Office Reunion Deserves a Dundie Award
- As work continues to remove cargo ship from collapsed Baltimore bridge, what about its crew?
Recommendation
Macy's says employee who allegedly hid $150 million in expenses had no major 'impact'
Why Becca Tilley Kept Hayley Kiyoko Romance Private But Not Hidden
Florida man sentenced to 3 years in prison for firebombing California Planned Parenthood clinic
Howard University cancels nurses' graduation mid-ceremony after door is smashed
McKinsey to pay $650 million after advising opioid maker on how to 'turbocharge' sales
Full transcript of Face the Nation, May 12, 2024
Who’s laughing? LateNighter, a digital news site about late-night TV, hopes to buck media trends
Former West Virginia health official gets probation in COVID-19 payment investigation